Can you lose money investing in REITs?
The real-estate specific risk within a REIT is material (although perhaps counterintuitive, that's good news as it's kind of the point of investing in a REIT in the first place). However, the average return earned for taking this risk was -2.8%. That's a lot of risk to take on to lose money on average!
This is the biggest and most important mistake that REIT investors keep on making. They see REITs as "income vehicles" and therefore, they will select their investments based on their dividend yield. In their mind, the higher the better. But in reality, the dividend is just a capital allocation decision.
More than a year of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve pushed down returns on real estate investment trusts, or REITs. While higher rates negatively impacted nearly every sector of the economy in 2022 and most of 2023, real estate was hit especially hard.
When investing in a REIT, the maximum loss is the total invested amount. The two ways an investor can benefit from an investment in a REIT are the regular income distributions and a potential price increase. Generally speaking, returns on REITs are from dividends rather than price appreciation.
REITs historically perform well during and after recessions | Pensions & Investments.
However, an examination of the historical record suggests that this is a misconception. Although interest rates certainly affect real estate values and, therefore, the performance of REITs, rising interest rates do not necessarily lead to poor returns.
The generous dividend payments enjoyed by REIT investors may look particularly attractive moving forward. With rate cuts on the horizon, dividend yields for REITs may look more favorable than yields on fixed-income securities and money market accounts.
Over a 3-year period, the S&P Global REIT Index had an annualized return of 4.41%, while the 5-year annualized return was 1.95%. Based on sector breakdown, the largest allocations in the index are to industrial REITs (19.2%), retail REITs (17.9%), and multifamily residential REITs (10.4%).
Investors looking ahead into 2024 will find real estate investment trusts (REITs) to be an attractive sector of the stock market to own.
In 2023, more institutional investors will likely consider REITs as part of portfolio completion strategies to gain geographic diversification or sector diversification, or to enhance their portfolios' ESG attributes. Our 2023 outlook wouldn't be complete without a deep dive into the institutional investor space.
Are REITs more risky than stocks?
Publicly traded REITs offer investors a way to add real estate to an investment portfolio or retirement account and earn an attractive dividend. Publicly traded REITs are a safer play than their non-exchange counterparts, but there are still risks.
At that rate of return, a monthly investment of $300 in REITs would grow into $1 million in about 30 years. If you invested more money into REITs or those producing a higher average annual return, you could become a millionaire even faster.
REITs do not guarantee income or total performance. Diversification in REITs does not guard against loss of income nor loss of principal. REITs are subject to economic volatility.
Anyone can invest in a public REIT as they would with a stock, but they must use a broker service to navigate this investment. These broker services can be self-directed for publicly traded REITs, but they are required for acquiring any securities. You must also use a broker to access a PNLR offering.
As interest rates rise, they can depress the price of these REITs. So while dividends may climb with interest rates, the price of publicly-traded REITs may decline. Historically, REITs are one of the better-performing sectors during inflationary periods.
Finally, a REIT is not a pass-through entity. This means that, unlike a partnership, a REIT cannot pass any tax losses through to its investors. Consider consulting your tax adviser before investing in REITs. The Office of Investor Education and Advocacy has provided this information as a service to investors.
Since real estate investment can carry high debt levels, the sector is subject to interest rate risk. D/E ratios for companies in the real estate sector, including REITs, tend to range from 1.0 to over 8.0:1.
According to consensus forecasts from FactSet, the number will dip in 2023, drop further in 2024 and return to growth in 2025 and beyond before hitting $633mn for the 2027 calendar year.
The jump came after a poor performance in the prior quarter when the Dow Jones Equity All REIT Index recorded a negative 8.4% return. The strong fourth quarter carried over to an 11.3% return for 2023 as a whole for the REIT-focused index, underperforming the S&P 500's 26.3% return for the year.
REITs Could Offer Investment Opportunities in 2024
Looking to 2024 and beyond, it's clear that potential total return outperformance, attractive pricing with converging valuations, and solid balance sheets likely will increase the appeal of REITs and offer investors tactical and strategic investment opportunities.
Will REITs rebound in 2023?
Despite that late-year surge, it is unlikely that 2023 REIT returns will create lasting happy memories for investors. However, as we look back on 2023, we note two key trends that we believe will gain increasing traction in 2024 and beyond.
If you are interested in a real estate investment that is reliable, hands-off and offers dividends, REITs could be the answer. If you're looking for a higher-risk ā but high-potential ā investment or want to be able to invest in specific companies you admire, buying individual stocks could be the answer.
Direct real estate offers more tax breaks than REIT investments, and gives investors more control over decision making. Many REITs are publicly traded on exchanges, so they're easier to buy and sell than traditional real estate.
While some stocks distribute dividends on a quarterly or annual basis, certain REITs pay quarterly or monthly. That can be an advantage for investors, whether the money is used for enhancing income or for reinvestment, especially since more frequent payments compound faster.
REITs historically have delivered competitive total returns, based on high, steady dividend income and long-term capital appreciation. Their comparatively low correlation with other assets also makes them an excellent portfolio diversifier that can help reduce overall portfolio risk and increase returns.
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